Pictured: Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13). Lock (100%): QB Ben Roethlisberger. Five of the 40 defensive players chosen among the top three picks of the draft since 1970 who are eligible for the Hall are enshrined, a percentage that will rise as players like Julius Peppers and Von Miller eventually become eligible. All 259 picks | Every team's class Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. If James gets back there this season, he might even be able to jump into the Likely category. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. Kelce has been a first-team All-Pro three consecutive times, although he oddly didn't make the Pro Bowl in two of those campaigns. Gore had the misfortune of playing for some bad San Francisco and Indianapolis teams, but his numbers are certainly impressive. The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. Ranking the top outlier contracts Of the nine corners who have debuted since the NFL-AFL merger and made the Hall of Fame, just two had been a first-team All-Pro by their third season, which puts White in good company alongside Rod Woodson and then-corner Ronnie Lott. Allen will have a tougher time (presumably) without Yannick Ngakoue or Calais Campbell around in 2020, but he's off to a great start. Every two-time winner got in easily, so while Watt might not have the longevity he hoped for, the Houston icon could retire tomorrow and get in. Jackson does an incredible job of avoiding hits and getting out of bounds, but there's naturally going to be questions about whether a quarterback can run the ball 10 times per game in the modern NFL and have a 15-year career as a starter. Gronk has five first-team All-Pro appearances. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Melvin Gordon, DE Jurrell Casey. The first game of the 2023 NFL calendar is . As he turns 30 in September, Gilmore probably needs at least two more seasons in which he has a credible case as the best cornerback in football -- or a really long peak. Most Approximate Value (AV) in a receiver's best sets of five and seven consecutive seasons, 1960-2019. 8/16/2011. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. They both need multiple All-Pro seasons before they can rise up the ranks. It's not too late to play with friends and family. The only player in the Hall of Fame primarily for his work as a punter is Ray Guy, and you could make a case that Hekker is on that track. In the running (40% to 69%): CB Jalen Ramsey. Thielen only emerged as a starter after turning 26, which means he would have to play into his late 30s to have a chance at racking up the cumulative stats modern wide receivers will need for enshrinement. To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. Green. I addressed this in my MVP column in July. Lock (100%): RB Adrian Peterson. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. Likely (60% to 99%): RB Frank Gore. The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. This trio is. Hes No. Matthew Freedman poses and answers the burning question about Evans' future Hall of Fame chances. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Chase Young, S Landon Collins. Randy Moss. Meanwhile, Johnson spent the first 12 years of his career with the expansion Texans, who didnt make the playoffs until his ninth season with quarterback play that ran the gamut from dreadful to above average. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. A big individual season and a few MVP votes in 2020 would be enough to push him into the next category. Published: August 24, 2021. Unless Evans has a Powell-esque decline or gets radically overshadowed by a teammate la Holt with Isaac Bruce, then Evans seems to have a good chance to get into the Hall eventually. In his other two seasons, he racked up a combined 23 sacks and made a pair of Pro Bowls. Gates, a former college basketball player, had one of the greatest careers for an undrafted player, logging 16 seasons with the Chargers. Unless he turns things around dramatically this season, he would fall out of the "Work to do" category altogether. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. Interior OL | Edge Worthy Hall of Fame (HOF) NFL Wide Receivers: The shoo-ins Let's start by running through five obvious cases of overly-qualified receivers who have not yet been enshrined. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? He repeated that feat in 2019, but he'll need to have Campbell's longevity and continue at this level into his mid-30s to have a viable path to the Hall. Leonard, with one All-Pro spot and a Pro Bowl appearance last year, is right behind. Honestly, the biggest factor holding Evans back right now is his team: The Bucs dont attract a lot of national attention, and they havent been to the postseason since 2007. Finish reading this entire article absolutely FREE in our app. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Vinatieri is arguably the greatest clutch kicker in NFL history, twice making last-second field goals to win Super Bowls and also making another famous kick in the Tuck Rule game that helped launch New Englands dynasty. Lock (100%): DT Aaron Donald. Just nine tight ends are enshrined, and Kelce's game leans more toward receiving than any of them. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. An interesting case could be made for Frank Gore, who is third all-time in rushing with 16,000 yards in a 16-season career with five teams, but tied for 19th in touchdowns with 81. He was a Pro Bowler in 2017 and has 37.5 sacks over his first four pro seasons, but he was overshadowed a bit by Campbell over that time frame. All of these guys have something in their favor, but it isn't enough to propel them to meaningful consideration as of yet. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. He has stayed healthy and productive, so that hasn't been the issue. If a receiver can enter the league and perform well right away at a boyish age, that speaks well for his future as he develops. The future of Tampa Bay's tight end room. That might bode well for Suggs case, especially with the premium placed on pass rushers in the modern NFL. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. Evans and Godwin might end up hurting each other's chances by preventing the other from getting a 185-target season like the one Michael Thomas enjoyed in 2019. He deserves it. A candidate must get 80 percent of the vote to be elected. Assessing Browns' FA needs. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Chandler Jones. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. QB Anthony Richardson rejects 'project label' entering combine, Texans terminate center Justin Britt's contract, Bun B, Badu, J.J. Watt celebrate RodeoHouston Southern Takeover. Watt's last name and presence on a high-profile defense won't hurt. Likely (70% to 99%): WR DeAndre Hopkins, CB Patrick Peterson. Sanders started 16 regular season games at cornerback and another eight at wide receiver - becoming the first two-way starter in the NFL since the Philadelphia Eagles Chuck Bednarik, who retired in 1962. Campbell, who turns 34 next month, is probably going to miss out, which is a shame given how good he has been. He was selected No. The Saints have the best tackle combination in football, but Armstead went underappreciated before picking up steam over the past couple of years and Ramczyk raised his game in 2019. Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. It might seem surprising to put Hill this high, but he has made it to four Pro Bowls and been a first-team All-Pro twice across his first four seasons. All but Gronkowski generated controversial off-field headlines, but the Hall voters only debate what is accomplished on the field. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. The 49ers' two-decade-plus string of Pro Bowl quarterbacks and near-two-decade run of employing an all-time receiving talent abruptly stopped in 2004. Cooper has made four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons. Where does Evans slot in? Bakhtiari, likewise, is blocked by Tyron Smith. The 2021 Radio Hall of Fame inductees will be honored at the in-person 2021 Radio Hall of Fame induction ceremony on Thursday, October 28, 2021, at Chicago's Wintrust Grand Banking Hall. His case is very strong for a first-ballot election. He played 16 seasons, but never led the league in any notable statistical category other than interceptions. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. Tucker is only nine years in, and while he can kick for a long time if he stays healthy, asking anyone in the NFL to do anything for 13 more seasons is risky. Six players have done that since the merger: Murray, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, George Rogers, Billy Sims and Earl Campbell. Gordon made it to two Pro Bowls during his five seasons with the Chargers, but injury concerns and fumble woes make it tough to see a Hall of Fame ceiling for the 2015 first-rounder. After five consecutive Pro Bowl campaigns, I wonder whether Landry actually has a better shot of surpassing his friend and longtime teammate. The three have career numbers that are comparable, and Holt and Wayne had the good fortune of playing with Hall of Fame quarterbacks (Kurt Warner and Peyton Manning) while winning Super Bowls. With the onset of COVID, the Pro Football Hall of Fame last year moved its annual board-of-selectors meeting from an in-person session the day before the Super Bowl to a virtual communication . Of all the young receivers, Moss is the only one to accomplish more through the first five seasons of his career. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. There aren't any Dolphins who would appear to have greater than a 10% chance of making the Hall of Fame. Quarterback Drew Brees and wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald are the two prominent ballot newcomers. In other words, instead of trying to project their chances by guessing what they'll do in the future, I'm looking at what they've done so far, comparing them to players at similar points in their careers, and seeing how often players with those sorts of careers made it into the Hall of Fame. All rights reserved. 3 pick. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. Left and right arrows move across top level links and expand / close menus in sub levels. Locks have a 100% chance of making it. James was a first-team All-Pro as a rookie, and while he missed 11 games in 2019 with a foot injury, he should get back on track in 2020. "Nuk" has been a first-team All-Pro in each of his past three seasons, which is the sort of run that earns skill-position players a trip to Canton on their own. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. Sensing that many people might disagree with me, I decided to post a poll on Twitter. Likely (70% to 99%): S Earl Thomas. In both cases, I'm looking mostly at the historical output for first overall picks. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Jared Goff, OT Andrew Whitworth, P Johnny Hekker. He started his career with seven Pro Bowls in seven seasons, which is rarefied air. Harold Carmichael finished his career with 590 receptions and 79 touchdowns. Work to do (10% to 39%): C Alex Mack, DT Grady Jarrett. If you were asked to name off the top of your head the three best NFL receivers to enter the league at 21, you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. If he can stay healthy, he's probably going to retire in the top 10 for career passing yardage, but will that really be enough to get him in without more individual awards or team success? Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. Hes top-10 in passing yards and touchdowns, so hell get a gold jacket at some point, if not on the first ballot. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. Since the merger, 11 offensive linemen have been named a first-team All-Pro in four consecutive seasons, and nine of them are in the Hall of Fame. White got his just due last season and was named a first-team All-Pro while tying for the league lead in interceptions (six). 2 with 6,103 yards. Rent the Hall. Dan Orlovsky denounces the NFL Network's Top 100 players for 2020 for excluding Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. Through Week 9 of the 2019 season, Evans has played 85 career games. Fitzpatrick went from getting benched for the Dolphins in Week 1 to becoming a first-team All-Pro after his arrival in Pittsburgh; another year like 2019 will push him into Watt territory. He might not make it on the first ballot, but he should make it eventually. Hekker got a two-season head start, but he has been a first-team All-Pro four times before turning 30 in February. Gilmore wasn't on track to become a Hall of Famer before he joined the Patriots, having made one Pro Bowl across his first five seasons in Buffalo, but he has made back-to-back first-team All-Pro teams and then won Defensive Player of the Year last season. Mathieu is a great player and just turned 28, so he still has plenty of time, but he probably needs four or five more Pro Bowl seasons or a DPOY victory to really get in the discussion. The only thing likely to keep him out of Canton is an electorate that habitually underrates interior offensive linemen in favor of an endless stream of running backs. Moving to a higher-profile, more successful team will help Ramsey's chances of drawing national attention, although he wasn't close to Stephon Gilmore or Tre'Davious White a year ago. Grading the Jamal Adams trade I think Thomas is a prohibitive favorite to get in. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. Longtime teammate Jeff Bagwell, meanwhile, had to wait until his seventh year on the ballot before gaining enshrinement to Cooperstown. Players the Jaguars could target But during his 15-year career, Lewis has only been a Pro Bowler and Second-Team All-Pro in 2010. The 2020 No. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30.
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